ProGambling

Contrarian Sports Betting Is A Big Money Maker

Should I go with, against or ignore the public consensus? What do I do with line moves? Are they one and the same? You ask some good questions.

Probably at one time or another you have joked, or maybe were quite serious when you said something to the effect, "Bet against my buddy, JoeBagOfDonuts. Every game he picks, he loses."

I knew a old hand sportsbook clerk who maintained fervently that every time some loudmouth came into his sportsbook and bragged that the oddsmakers were giving away money on a particular game or that a line was so far off, then plopped down $25 on such a "sure thing", the clerk would immediately go to another casino and bet the other side.
He vowed that about 70 percent of the time, the big bragging, small-playing egomaniac would lose.

In actuality, the basic philosophy behind that is very compelling. Fading public consensus plays-contrarian plays-can be actually be a very genuine and priceless starting point of handicapping. A little known fact is that the oddsmakers very much study public betting trends when making the line.

That is, in many circumstances, the linesmaker before he even posts a line, knows that recent data shows that the public is going to lean towards betting Team A against Team B, regardless of what the line is. Hence a team that should be a 14 point favorite is posted as a 16-point chalk. Just an extra half-point here and an extra point there can prove huge over the long run.

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The great equalizer would of course to have the exact information of which teams are overpriced because of public perception. As we like to say, you can use the oddsmakers’ knowledge against them.

I have heard both first hand and second hand stories about guys who ran parlay card operations (for amusement only of course) who every week would compile a consensus from among their hundreds of participants.

They would then bet against all of biggest consensus plays and do very, very well. We have found that the public consensus plays as found at contest sites such as Bigguy and Sports Insights have been very accurate in measuring public perception. Generally the top consensus plays at those sites and from outlaw information that we get fairly parallel.

OffshoreInsiders.com only considers something above 70-percent to be significant enough for "fading" purposes. Consensus plays that overwhelming are often few and far between, but just like in everything else that we do, we set the bar very high.
However, so often the public confuses line moves and "public plays". Line moves are much more affected by the sharp player than the majority, thus merely tracking line moves does have some value, but is not a foolproof indicator of fade plays.

That’s why I compare the information that I get from my outlaw book acquaintances, offshore contacts and compare them to the Internet contest sites. When all such information coincides, we have the chance to fade sucker plays.

Schleps can be of great value to smart players. The more you fade them, the brighter they begin to look.

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By: Joe Duffy

Popularity: 39% [?]

Technorati Tags: best sport betting, how to win at sports betting

The Secrets To Win On Sports Betting

There are varieties of reasons why people opt for sports betting. For the amateur bettors, it is nothing more than fun. But the serious and professional bettors bet on their favorite teams and enjoy their win. However, there is other segment of betting population who make money out of betting. Unfortunately, many bettors pick their bets randomly and eventually, end up with losing their betting amount. There are only few experienced bettors who know the exact rules of betting, developing their strategies of betting, and win consistently.

If you want to increase your chances of winning, sports betting blogs can provide you numerous options on betting and winning. Many people discuss about the game, the series and the performance of the teams through different sports betting blogs. The blogs are a major source of information for your betting. However, there are certain rules that you need to follow to increase your chances of winning.

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Money Management- the Bottom-Line of Betting
Although, money management is the most important aspect of sports betting, many gamblers don’t pay much attention to it. The first attempt towards money management in sports betting is to check your bankroll. In sports, it is difficult to predict the winners and if you bet all the money you have and lose, you will be in a difficult situation. It is wise to distribute your bankroll among smaller bets. Picking the right bet is important. You can also increase your bet when you are on a winning streak.

Shopping for the Best Numbers
If you are following the sports book to get the best numbers, you will find incongruity in different books. The changing numbers in the books are due to the diverse betting pattern of the customers. The difference between the points decides the difference between win and loss. Picking the right number and getting the best line to bet your hard-earned money should be your top priority.

Gambling Under Influence
There are many casinos that try to influence the betting of their customers. Even in some of the sport betting blogs, you will find confusing information about the statistics. Try not to get influenced by the misleading information.

Significance of Homework
The best way to win sports bet is to develop strategy before investing money. Even the experts need to do a little homework to be on the safer side. If you are new to sports bet, you can collect information from the Internet. Sports betting blogs are the best source of information.
Checking the Odds of the Game
If you are betting huge amount, your payouts are also high. If you are referring to the sports books, make thorough research and check for the odds. In many sports book the payout odds are listed for the convenience of the bettors.

Time Management- the Best Betting Formula
If you want to get the most out of your bet, bet at the right time. For instance, if you are going to bet the underdogs, place your betting as late as possible. And if you want to bet on the favorite get your bet early. Of course, this is not the formula that works for all games, but it is usually a good betting rule.

The betting tips are useful for amateur as well as experienced bettors. However, if you want to find more information about statistics, game analysis, team trends, valuable lines, historical angles, etc.; sports betting blog are the best source.

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By: James Stewart

Popularity: 33% [?]

Technorati Tags: how to win at sports betting, winning at sports betting

Online Beeting Forums: Revolutionizing Sports Betting Philadelphia, Pa

In the bottom of the ninth inning in the final game of the 2008 World Series, Brad Lidge of the Philadelphia Phillies struck out the Tampa Bay batter to win the series.

Philadelphia exploded- there were riots, cheering, drinking, vandalism, and all the accouterments of a huge sports win. But there was another explosion too- online sports betting forums around the world buzzed with the news!

Sports betting has been around for ages. Ancient Romans, for example, would wager gold and goods on gladiator matches. But the advent of the internet in the 1990s revolutionized sports betting: the speed of the Web allowed bets to be placed and claimed more quickly than ever before. And a unique phenomenon was created due to the new technology: online sports betting forums. So what? There are forums for everything else, so why is it interesting that there are sports betting forums? The answer is this: sports betting forums have globalized sports gambling.

A man in Nashville, Tennessee, for example, who might never have heard of jujitsu can now bet on a match in Brazil. He just logs on to his favorite betting forum and starts a thread about Brazilian jujitsu. Within ten minutes, he’s gotten five answers, tips, and bits of advice. Through the Internet, anybody can make knowledgeable bets on any sport.

In addition, online sports betting forums have created a community. Betters used to be individuals- there were never betting “teams” or partnerships. But with the advent of the betting forum, gamblers are pairing up and making bets in groups. This kind of community spirit would have been impossible without the forums.

So, while sports betting is an ancient art, new technology has made it thoroughly modern. No longer are there seedy, small apartments with dirty, grim bookies. Now, your typical sports gambler is using a sleek computer, the World Wide Web, and his insatiable thirst for winning.

By: Dave Saltonstall-16825

Article Directory: http://www.articledashboard.com

If the idea of an online betting forums interests you and the community and knowledge base which can be exploited within these forums has captured your betting imagination! Then look no further than Bluesq.com!

Popularity: 12% [?]

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How To Win At Poker Tips For The Beginner

Poker is one of the few games where a player is judged a winner based on how much money they have won, not by the number of hands that they have won. While Poker is very much a game of acquired skills and not luck, this doesn’t mean that a beginner can’t also be a winner. This is what makes poker such a popular card game.

As a beginning player, there are some tips that can be followed to increase your chances of winning at the table. For example, it is very important to know when and when not to bet. Being able to learn a few tricks of the game, watching how other players make their moves and above all, taking responsibility for your own actions as well as for your own play are important skills to learn. It is also a good idea for new poker players to keep a log, of sorts, of the games played and how they performed.

One of the most enjoyable parts of playing poker, as a beginner, is to learn the tricks of the game. Keep in mind that as a new player, you probably won’t learn anything that will fool a seasoned cardholder, but you can certainly use them against your buddies on Saturday night. It is important to note that over using these tricks and tips can quickly become a disadvantage to your game. Tricks are nice, but should be used only when they can help you win and not just because they are fun to perform during the game.

Probably the most important trick that you can ever learn when playing poker, is to know when to bet and when to hold on to your money. When a good set of cards are dealt to you, it’s exciting and you may be tempted to bet larger than what you should. It is always wise, after you make a small opening bet, to sit back and observe your fellow players, try to see what they have going on. If need be, fold, even on a good hand. If you don’t learn when to fold, you won’t win very often. It is especially important for a new player to learn when to stop upping the pot; just because you ‘think’ you can win it. Your opponents will gladly take your money.

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Observation of the other players is also an important part of winning at the game of poker. The most effective way to learn how to win at poker is to find someone who is great at the game and watch what they are doing. Watch the fact that the veterans don’t use their bag of tricks on every hand, how they bet and that it is not every time their turn comes around, they wait. Pay attention to the fact that when they feel that their hand is turning cold, they stop betting.

For the newer players, it is important to be accountable for how they are playing. It is too easy in this game to blame a loss on a string of bad luck. This way of thinking will get you into trouble faster than anything else. Be responsible, realize that poker is a skill game, that you control how you use or don’t use the cards you are given.

A great way to learn to be responsible for your play is by keeping a chart, or a log, of how you are playing your games. This doesn’t have to be anything fancy; you are the only one who will see it. However, the log should keep track of the players, the time of the game, the money involved and what you think your strengths or weakness were during that particular game. You are looking for a way to improve your poker skills for the next time you square off against these same opponents.

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By: J Finney

Popularity: 48% [?]

Technorati Tags: beginner, how to win at poker tips for the beginner, poker tips